NOAA and Dr. Gray Issue Updated Hurricane Outlooks

Hello to all….

Within the past week, NOAA and Dr. Gray have both issued their Atlantic Hurricane Outlooks. Their outlooks call for slightly less activity but remain insistent on above normal acitivity for the Atlantic. Details on the forecasts can be seen at the following links:

NOAA Press Release and Outlook Links:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/s2905.htm
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

Dr. Gray’s Hurricane Outlook Link to current and previous forecasts:
http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/

While the activity level has been lowered, the season is still expected to be active. While there have only been 3 tropical systems so far this year and they have been relatively weak with none of them reaching hurricane strength, the peak of hurricane season is September 15th and the majority of activity, even in active years, typically occurs in August through October. A particular year of note with that trend is 2004 where the first named system wasn’t until August but from August through mid-October, the season was extremely active with many land areas affected by tropical systems, particularly, the state of Florida.

For this year, an active pattern still appears likely. The key to how the season will be remembered is the location, and intensity of systems and whether they impact land areas. In 1992, there were only 7 named systems, but Hurricane Andrew affected the lives of many people.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management team continues to monitor the tropics closely. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net
1

Hello to all….

Within the past week, NOAA and Dr. Gray have both issued their Atlantic Hurricane Outlooks. Their outlooks call for slightly less activity but remain insistent on above normal acitivity for the Atlantic. Details on the forecasts can be seen at the following links:

NOAA Press Release and Outlook Links:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/s2905.htm
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

Dr. Gray’s Hurricane Outlook Link to current and previous forecasts:
http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/

While the activity level has been lowered, the season is still expected to be active. While there have only been 3 tropical systems so far this year and they have been relatively weak with none of them reaching hurricane strength, the peak of hurricane season is September 15th and the majority of activity, even in active years, typically occurs in August through October. A particular year of note with that trend is 2004 where the first named system wasn’t until August but from August through mid-October, the season was extremely active with many land areas affected by tropical systems, particularly, the state of Florida.

For this year, an active pattern still appears likely. The key to how the season will be remembered is the location, and intensity of systems and whether they impact land areas. In 1992, there were only 7 named systems, but Hurricane Andrew affected the lives of many people.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management team continues to monitor the tropics closely. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net
1