Tropical Depression (TD) #10 Becomes Tropical Storm Hermine

Hello to all…

Tropical Depression (TD) #10 Becomes Tropical Storm Hermine. Hermine is the 8th named system of the 2010 Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Season. Hermine is expected to strengthen to a 50 Knot/60 MPH Tropical Stom before making landfall somewhere over the Northeast Mexico/South Texas coast line and the model guidance has shifted northward so a Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the coast of Mexico from Tampico to the mouth of the Rio Grande and from the mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay Texas. Additional watches or warnings could be required for portions of South Texas later today. Hermine is expected to make landfall without becoming a hurricane but this will need close monitoring since the environment is favorable for strengthening and if Hermine spends more time over water than currently forecast, she might have an opportunity to become a hurricane.

Hermine advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. Hermine Advisory information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management will closely monitor the progress of Hermine. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Tropical Depression (TD) #10 Forms in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico

Hello to all…

The area of disturbed weather over the Southwest Gulf of Mexico has become better organized and is now Tropical Depression (TD) #10. TD 10 is within 300 miles of land but is expected to organize and become a tropical storm before landfall on the coast of Mexico. If it were to become a tropical storm, it would be named Hermine. At this time, the system is not expected to attain hurricane strength. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Mexico from Tampico to the mouth of the Rio Grande River.

TD 10 advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. TD 10 Advisory information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management will closely monitor the progress of TD 10. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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VoIP Hurricane Net to Activate for Hurricane Earl and its Closest Pass to the Mid Atlantic Coast at 4 PM ET Thursday 9/2/10

Hello to all..

..VoIP Hurricane Net to activate formally at 4 PM EDT/2000 UTC Thursday September 2nd, 2010 for Impact of Hurricane Earl over Eastern North Carolina, Outer Banks of North Carolina, Eastern Virginia and the Delmarva peninsula. Activation is expected to last through early Friday Morning potentially with another activation possible over the New England states Friday Afternoon through Saturday Morning. Activation will take place on the *WX_TALK* Echolink Conference Node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system for the duration of this event..
…WX4NHC Operations Will Also Activate at 4 PM EDT/2000 UTC for Hurricane Earl’s Impact on the Eastern North Carolina, Outer Banks of North Carolina, Eastern Virginia and the Delmarva peninsula…

Hurricane Earl is an extremely powerful Category IV hurricane and is expected to stay a major hurricane as it makes a close pass within 125 miles of the Eastern Virginia, Eastern North Carolina, Delmarva peninsula region. The VoIP Hurricane Net will activate at 4 PM EDT/2000 UTC looking for surface reports from stations in the affected area of Hurricane Earl or from Amateur Radio Operators who have contact with the affected area of Hurricane Earl through any relays or people they know in the area. In addition, an activation of the net could occur again on Friday Afternoon and Evening as Earl makes another closs pass to portions of Southeast New England.

For the latest advisory information including watches and warnings, you can go to the VoIPWXNet web site and click Atlantic Tropical Products and click on the advisory information for Hurricane Earl under the Atlantic Tropical Products section. You can also gather the advisory information from the National Hurricane Center web site at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

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VoIP Hurricane Net Deactivates for Hurricane Earl & Tropical Storm Fiona Forms in Atlantic

Hello to all..

At 6 PM ET, the VoIP Hurricane Net deactivated formally and WX4NHC deactivated their operations as Earl pulls away from lands and moves more out into the open Ocean.

The most significant damage was in the British Virgin Islands and Anguilla with extremely heavy rain as high as 9 inches recorded on the island of Antigua. Reports received by the VoIP Hurricane Net via Amateur Radio Operators and through storm bloggers on stormcarib.com can be seen via the following link:

http://report.voipwx.net/qilan/nhcwx/list_VOIP_records?auth=OK

Hurricane Earl is expected to remain a major hurricane for several days as it traverses just off the US East Coast. Impacts could be felt near the Outer banks of North Carolina and New England/Long Island NY area. The cone of uncertainity is over these areas. It will become better known over the next 24-36 hours worth of model runs which area or areas will be affected up the US East Coast.

Tropical Storm Fiona has now formed about 895 miles west of the Leeward Islands. Fiona could cause tropical storm force conditions over the Leeward Islands. At this time, Fiona is expected to only remain at tropical storm strength and not intensify into a hurricane over the next 120 hours but this will need to be closely monitored. Tropical Storm Watches may be needed once again for portions of the Caribbean islands later this week.

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VoIP Hurricane Net Activation for Hurricane Earl to Commence on Monday August 30th, 2010 at 8 AM EDT/1200 UTC

Hello to all..

..VoIP Hurricane Net to activate formally at 8 AM EDT/7 AM CDT/1200 UTC Monday August 30th, 2010 for Impact of Hurricane Earl on the Northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Activation is expected to last through Monday Evening potentially. Activation will take place on the *WX_TALK* Echolink Conference Node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system for the duration of this event..
…WX4NHC Operations Will Also Activate at 8 AM EDT/7 AM CDT/1200 UTC for Hurricane Earl’s Impact on the Northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico..

Hurricane Earl is expected to intensify and become a strong Category 1 to Category 2 hurricane as it moves westward to possibly west-northwestward near or through the Northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Hurricane Earl’s hurricane force wind field is forecast to stay just north of the islands but any deviation to the south of the current track guidance would bring the hurricane force wind field to the Northern Leeward Islands and possibly the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. The VoIP Hurricane Net will activate at 8 AM EDT/7 AM CDT/1200 UTC looking for surface reports from stations in the affected area of Hurricane Earl or from Amateur Radio Operators who have contact with the affected area of Hurricane Earl through any relays or people they know in the area.

For the latest advisory information including watches and warnings, you can go to the VoIPWXNet web site and click Atlantic Tropical Products and click on the advisory information for Hurricane Earl under the Atlantic Tropical Products section. You can also gather the advisory information from the National Hurricane Center web site at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

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Tropical Storm Earl Update and Possible Net Activation Late Sunday Night or Monday Morning

Hello to all…

Tropical Storm Earl poses a threat to the Caribbean islands late tonight and Monday. At this time, Earl is expected to intensify into a hurricane later today and on its current track the hurricane force conditions are expected to be just offshore of the islands but a slight deviation south would bring the hurricane force conditions to the islands. This could prompt VoIP Hurricane Net activation for Earl some time late tonight or Monday Morning unless it pulls further north away from the islands.

Thereafter, Earl is expected to pull northwestward and then northward a few hundred miles off the US East Coast and then tracking northeast causing a ‘glancing blow’ of tropical storm force conditions to Southeastern New England. Other model guidance such as the reliable European Model brings Earl closer to the coast with a more direct hit on Southern New England. This will be closely monitored. Low-level preparations and situational awareness has already commenced in Southern New England regarding Earl and has been noted in the NWS Taunton Massachusetts Hazardous Weather Outlook.

Once again, Earl advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. Earl Advisory information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management will closely monitor the progress of Earl. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net


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Atlantic Tropical Update – 8/27/2010

Hello to all…

The Atlantic Tropics continue to be active. Another system off of Africa has a high chance for development south of the Cape Verde Islands. This system has the potential to become a tropical depression in the next 48 hours and will be monitored. Here are updates on Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl:

Hurricane Danielle is now a Category-IV Hurricane on the Saffir/Simpson Hurricane scale which classifies Danielle as a major hurricane and the first major hurricane of the 2010 Tropical Atlantic Season. Danielle is expected to recurve out to sea far east of Bermuda. Interests in Bermuda, however, are asked to monitor the progress of Danielle until it makes the complete turn north and northeast away from the island per strong computer weather model agreement.

Tropical Storm Earl is expected to intensify over the next several days and become a hurricane with some potential for Earl to become a major hurricane around or after 5 days. Earl is not expected to affect any land areas until late in the period, where some models bring the system closer to the Bahamas while other models bring the system further out into the open Atlantic. This will depend on the strength of ‘the ridge’ or high pressure between 60 West and 70 West longtitude. Earl will continue to bear close watching as it traverses across the Central Atlantic Ocean.

Earl and Danielle advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. Earl and Danielle Advisory information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

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Tropical Depression (TD) #7 Becomes Tropical Storm Earl in Far Eastern Atlantic Ocean

Hello to all..

Tropical Depression (TD) #7 has intensified and has become Tropical Storm Earl, the fifth Tropical Storm of the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season in the far Eastern Atlantic Ocean. Earl is expected to move steadily west to west-northwestward and will be to the northeast of Puerto Rico in 5 days. Model trends have been shifting southward and this will be monitored for potential greater impact to the Caribbean islands and Puerto Rico around 5 days from Wednesday Evening. Earl is expected to reach hurricane strength by Friday due to relatively low shear and warmer than normal Atlantic sea surface temperatures.

Earl advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. Earl Advisory information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Earl. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Tropical Depression (TD) # 7 Forms in the Far Eastern Atlantic Ocean

Hello to all..

Tropical Depression (TD) #7 has formed in the far Eastern Atlantic Ocean. TD 7 is expected to traverse the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean over the next 5 days and is expected to reach Tropical Storm status over the next day or so. If TD 7 intensifies as expected, the system will be named Earl. Advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. TD 7 information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management team will closely monitor the track of this system. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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