VoIP Hurricane Net

Hello to all..

Here is another update on the Atlantic Tropics.

A tropical wave in the Western Caribbean Sea has become better organized and while a reconnaisance aircraft did not find a closed circulation, the system now has a high chance for development into a tropical depression over the next 48 hours. Interests in the Western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

A tropical wave in the eastern atlantic about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands is now being monitored for development. It has a low chance for tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours but conditions have the potential to become more favorable for development after 48 hours.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of these systems and the Atlantic Tropics in general. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

Late Saturday Evening, Tropical Depression (TD) #7 formed and as of 2 PM ET Sunday, TD #7 has become Tropical Storm Gert, the 7th Tropical Storm of the Atlantic Season. Gert is expected to impact Bermuda as a Tropical Storm and a Tropical Storm Warning has been posted for Bermuda. Tropical Storm conditions are expected on Bermuda late tonight into Monday Morning. Gert is not expected to reach hurricane strength and after impact on Bermuda, he is expected to only be a threat to shipping interests. Nonetheless, the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Gert.

Franklin has become post-tropical over the North Atlantic. The post-tropical remnants will only be a threat to shipping interests.

Another trough of low pressure is situated 425 miles north-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. At this time, this system doesn’t have a closed circulation and its development is being impeded by its close proximity to Tropical Storm Gert. Nonetheless, this system has a medium chance, 30 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone and it will be monitored.

The system furthest south that was a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has diminished and is currently no longer expected to develop. This system is no longer mentioned in National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlooks.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the Atlantic Tropics. The Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook and advisory information on Tropical Storm Gert can be seen on the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The outlook and Gert advisories can also be seen at the National Hurricane Center web site at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

TD #6 formed Friday Evening and gathered enough organization to be named Tropical Storm Franklin. Franklin is only a threat to shipping interests and is expected to weaken and become extratropical either later tonight or Sunday.

A low pressure system 425 miles southeast of Bermuda now has a high chance for development and interests Bermuda are being advised to closely monitor the progress of this system. This system will be watched closely by the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team concerning any impact to the island of Bermuda.

Another well defined trough of low pressure 525 miles Northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands is also showing signs of organization and has a medium chance for development. This will be out over the open ocean waters for several days away from land areas. Computer models depict the track of this system to remain over the open waters with some potential impact to Bermuda but it remains too early to tell where this potentially developing system may end up.

Yet another tropical wave is about 725 Miles Southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands has a low chance of development as current conditions are not that favorable but computer models predict that the environment will become more favorable over the next few days.

The Tropics are getting more active as we approach the peak of the season in September. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the Atlantic Tropics. The Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook can be seen on the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. It can also be seen at the National Hurricane web site at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

On Monday Evening, Tropical Storm Emily formed near the Windward/Leeward Islands and is moving westward and is 245 miles southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico with Maximum Sustained Winds of 40 MPH. Emily is expected to turn west-northwestward and slow its forward speed over the next 48 hours and some slow strengthening is possible until Emily interacts with land. As of 5 AM ET, Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Guadeloupe, Desirade, Les Saintes, Maria Galante, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra and the Donimican Republic. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the US Virgin Islands, St Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Haiti.

The intensity and track of Emily is rather uncertain. For the next 120 hours, Emily is expected to remain at Tropical Storm strength with the possibility of Emily weakening to a tropical depression depending on how much land Emily interacts with as she approaches Hispaniola. If Emily interacts with land too much, she may not maintain a circulation and could weaken to a remnant low. If she stays more over water, slow strengthening could occur as she moves through the islands. The track is equally uncertain with some weather models bringing Emily through the Bahamas and just off the coast of Florida. Other weather models are further south keeping the system south of Cuba. Future model runs and the ultimate strength of Emily will determine her track over the next few days.

Advisories on Emily can be found off the Main Menu of the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The advisories can also be obtained via the National Hurricane Center web site at:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Emily. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

Tropical Storm Don has formed in the West-Central Gulf of Mexico with Maximum Sustained winds of 40 MPH. Don is a small tropical storm with tropical storm force winds extending outward up to 45 miles from the center. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Texas Coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass. Don is expected to intensify into a 60 MPH Tropical Storm and remain below hurricane strength. That said, small tropical systems like Don can have rapid and large fluctuations in intensity. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the progress of Don.

Advisory Information on Don can be seen on the VoIP Hurricane Net web page off the Main Menu of the web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The information can also be seen on the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Again, the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the progress of Don. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net.

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

At 5 PM EDT, Tropical Storm Cindy formed in the North-Central Atlantic and is slowly intensifying over the open waters. Cindy will continue to move northeast and accelerate and has about a 24-hour window to intensify before it moves over colder waters and weakens. Cindy is only a threat to shipping interests and is not expected to affect any land areas.

Tropical Storm Bret has been slowly weakening between the US East Coast and Bermuda. Bret is expected to stay out at sea and weaken to a depression or remnant low over the next day or two. Bret also doesn’t pose a threat to any land areas at this time.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to monitor Bret, Cindy and any other developments in the Tropical Atlantic. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

TD #2 has strengthened into Tropical Storm Bret. The second named storm of the Tropical Atlantic season. Bret may affect portions of the Northwest Bahamas where a Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect. From there, Bret is expected to stay out over the Atlantic Ocean. It is noted that a couple of the reliable hurricane models bring Bret closer to the US East Coast. This has been discounted by National Hurricane Center forecasters at this time but nonetheless Bret will continue to be monitored.

A reminder that advisories on this system can be seen at http://www.voipwx.net via links on the main menu of the web site. Advisories can also be found on the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Bret. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

Tropical Depression #2 (TD #2) has formed in the Atlantic near the Bahama Islands and is drifting to the south. TD #2 is expected to intensify into a Tropical Storm and a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the Bahama Islands. If TD #2 intensifies as expected, it will be named Bret. After affecting the Bahama Islands, the current forecast track is for this system to stay out over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean and move towards the Northeast or East-Northeast. This will be monitored closely.

Advisories on this system can be seen at http://www.voipwx.net via links on the main menu of the web site. Advisories can also be found on the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of this system. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

On Thursday July 7th, 2011 from 8-930 PM EDT, the ARRL will be hosting a Webinar on Hurricanes and the Amateur Radio Response to the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Representatives from the VoIP Hurricane Net, WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, the Hurricane Watch Net and the ARRL will be giving presentations and discussion in this webinar. The webinar is open to all Amateurs, however, we strongly encourage Amateurs in hurricane prone areas to attend this webinar as the data will apply the most to these people. The ARRL web site article is listed below:

http://www.arrl.org/news/register-for-upcoming-webinar-on-amateur-radio-response-to-2011-hurricane-season

We hope many Amateurs particularly Amateurs in hurricane prone areas can attend this webinar. We will also check to see if this webinar will be archived for review by Amateurs who cannot attend the session live.

Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all…

Tropical Storm Arlene has formed over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico this evening and is the first tropical system of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of Northeastern Mexico from Barra De Nautla northward to Bahia Algodones. At this time, Arlene is not expected to reach hurricane status. It is expected that Arlene’s peak intensity will be a 60 MPH tropical storm, however, with the limitations in the science of intensity prediction of tropical systems, Arlene’s status as a tropical system will be monitored closely in case it unexpectedly intensified into a hurricane.

Arlene advisory information can be seen on the VoIPWXNet web site by looking under Atlantic Tropical Products off the Main Menu of the web site. Arlene Advisory information can also be seen off the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management team will closely monitor the progress of Arlene. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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