VoIP Hurricane Net

Hello to all..

Tropical Storm Harvey continues to move towards Belize with little change in strength. Harvey will move into Belize later this afternoon or this evening as a strong tropical storm. There is still a low chance for Harvey to intensify into a hurricane but the chances are reduced as compared to last night.

In coordination with K4AG-John McHugh and WD4R-Julio Ripoll, coordinators for WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, they are monitoring Harvey’s progress but at this time, activation is not expected. In terms of the VoIP Hurricane Net, we’ll monitor various weather stations and storm bloggers and informally monitor the *WX_TALK* Echolink conference node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system for any stations in the area but we will not plan a formal activation of the net. Our weekly VoIP Hurricane Prep Net will take place as planned at 8 PM ET/7 PM CT/0000 UTC. If any Amateurs gather any information from contacts in Belize, we will try to have someone monitor the Echolink/IRLP system during the day or reports can be given via the weekly net this evening and that can be a place to handle this information.

Updates on the other potential areas of disturbed weather will be given later tonight and on the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net this evening. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

The latest information on Tropical Storm Harvey, which was TD 8 Thursday Evening, now has him becoming a hurricane prior to landfall on the coast of Belize Saturday Evening. VoIP Hurricane Net Activation may occur if this forecast becomes valid. We are currently coordinating with the Amateur Radio Coordinators at the National Hurricane Center, Julio Ripoll-WD4R, and John McHugh-K4AG on this potential. This may pre-empt the regular session of the VoIP Hurricane Prep Net Saturday Evening.

Any Amateurs with contact with affected area or relays into the affected areas of Harvey are asked to relay any reports or contacts to the VoIP Hurricane Net Management team. Another update will be sent out around Midday Saturday. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

The Atlantic Tropics remain active. Tropical Depression (TD) 8 has formed in the Western Caribbean Sea. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the coast of Guatamalea. TD 8 is near land but may reach Tropical Storm strength before interacting with land. There is also the possibility that TD 8 remains a depression and makes landfall. If it were to become a tropical storm, it would be named Harvey. In any case, this system is highly unlikely to reach hurricane strength prior to landfall though the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will monitor it closely. Advisory information on TD 8 is available on the voipwx.net web site under the main menu under Atlantic Tropical products. It is also available at the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Elsewhere in the tropics, a vigorous tropical wave has emerged off Africa and upper level winds and water temperatures are favorable for development and the system already has a medium chance for development. There will be heavy rains and gusty winds over the Cape Verde Islands from this system.

Another large tropical wave with limited shower activity is 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and has a low chance for development over the next 48 hours. Conditions after 48 hours, however, are expected to become more conducive for development.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor developments in the Atlantic Tropics. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

Here is another update on the Atlantic Tropics.

A tropical wave in the Western Caribbean Sea has become better organized and while a reconnaisance aircraft did not find a closed circulation, the system now has a high chance for development into a tropical depression over the next 48 hours. Interests in the Western Caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of this system.

A tropical wave in the eastern atlantic about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands is now being monitored for development. It has a low chance for tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours but conditions have the potential to become more favorable for development after 48 hours.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of these systems and the Atlantic Tropics in general. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

Late Saturday Evening, Tropical Depression (TD) #7 formed and as of 2 PM ET Sunday, TD #7 has become Tropical Storm Gert, the 7th Tropical Storm of the Atlantic Season. Gert is expected to impact Bermuda as a Tropical Storm and a Tropical Storm Warning has been posted for Bermuda. Tropical Storm conditions are expected on Bermuda late tonight into Monday Morning. Gert is not expected to reach hurricane strength and after impact on Bermuda, he is expected to only be a threat to shipping interests. Nonetheless, the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Gert.

Franklin has become post-tropical over the North Atlantic. The post-tropical remnants will only be a threat to shipping interests.

Another trough of low pressure is situated 425 miles north-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. At this time, this system doesn’t have a closed circulation and its development is being impeded by its close proximity to Tropical Storm Gert. Nonetheless, this system has a medium chance, 30 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone and it will be monitored.

The system furthest south that was a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has diminished and is currently no longer expected to develop. This system is no longer mentioned in National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlooks.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the Atlantic Tropics. The Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook and advisory information on Tropical Storm Gert can be seen on the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The outlook and Gert advisories can also be seen at the National Hurricane Center web site at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

TD #6 formed Friday Evening and gathered enough organization to be named Tropical Storm Franklin. Franklin is only a threat to shipping interests and is expected to weaken and become extratropical either later tonight or Sunday.

A low pressure system 425 miles southeast of Bermuda now has a high chance for development and interests Bermuda are being advised to closely monitor the progress of this system. This system will be watched closely by the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team concerning any impact to the island of Bermuda.

Another well defined trough of low pressure 525 miles Northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands is also showing signs of organization and has a medium chance for development. This will be out over the open ocean waters for several days away from land areas. Computer models depict the track of this system to remain over the open waters with some potential impact to Bermuda but it remains too early to tell where this potentially developing system may end up.

Yet another tropical wave is about 725 Miles Southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands has a low chance of development as current conditions are not that favorable but computer models predict that the environment will become more favorable over the next few days.

The Tropics are getting more active as we approach the peak of the season in September. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the Atlantic Tropics. The Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook can be seen on the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. It can also be seen at the National Hurricane web site at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

On Monday Evening, Tropical Storm Emily formed near the Windward/Leeward Islands and is moving westward and is 245 miles southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico with Maximum Sustained Winds of 40 MPH. Emily is expected to turn west-northwestward and slow its forward speed over the next 48 hours and some slow strengthening is possible until Emily interacts with land. As of 5 AM ET, Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Guadeloupe, Desirade, Les Saintes, Maria Galante, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra and the Donimican Republic. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the US Virgin Islands, St Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Haiti.

The intensity and track of Emily is rather uncertain. For the next 120 hours, Emily is expected to remain at Tropical Storm strength with the possibility of Emily weakening to a tropical depression depending on how much land Emily interacts with as she approaches Hispaniola. If Emily interacts with land too much, she may not maintain a circulation and could weaken to a remnant low. If she stays more over water, slow strengthening could occur as she moves through the islands. The track is equally uncertain with some weather models bringing Emily through the Bahamas and just off the coast of Florida. Other weather models are further south keeping the system south of Cuba. Future model runs and the ultimate strength of Emily will determine her track over the next few days.

Advisories on Emily can be found off the Main Menu of the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The advisories can also be obtained via the National Hurricane Center web site at:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Emily. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

Tropical Storm Don has formed in the West-Central Gulf of Mexico with Maximum Sustained winds of 40 MPH. Don is a small tropical storm with tropical storm force winds extending outward up to 45 miles from the center. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Texas Coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass. Don is expected to intensify into a 60 MPH Tropical Storm and remain below hurricane strength. That said, small tropical systems like Don can have rapid and large fluctuations in intensity. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the progress of Don.

Advisory Information on Don can be seen on the VoIP Hurricane Net web page off the Main Menu of the web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The information can also be seen on the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Again, the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the progress of Don. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net.

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

At 5 PM EDT, Tropical Storm Cindy formed in the North-Central Atlantic and is slowly intensifying over the open waters. Cindy will continue to move northeast and accelerate and has about a 24-hour window to intensify before it moves over colder waters and weakens. Cindy is only a threat to shipping interests and is not expected to affect any land areas.

Tropical Storm Bret has been slowly weakening between the US East Coast and Bermuda. Bret is expected to stay out at sea and weaken to a depression or remnant low over the next day or two. Bret also doesn’t pose a threat to any land areas at this time.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to monitor Bret, Cindy and any other developments in the Tropical Atlantic. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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Hello to all..

TD #2 has strengthened into Tropical Storm Bret. The second named storm of the Tropical Atlantic season. Bret may affect portions of the Northwest Bahamas where a Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect. From there, Bret is expected to stay out over the Atlantic Ocean. It is noted that a couple of the reliable hurricane models bring Bret closer to the US East Coast. This has been discounted by National Hurricane Center forecasters at this time but nonetheless Bret will continue to be monitored.

A reminder that advisories on this system can be seen at http://www.voipwx.net via links on the main menu of the web site. Advisories can also be found on the National Hurricane Center web site via the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Bret. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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