Tropical Storm Karen Update – 11 AM EDT/10 AM CDT/1500 UTC – Friday 10/4/13

Hello to all..

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Karen. Over the past 24 hours, Karen has weakened a bit to a 50 MPH Tropical Storm due to moderate westerly shear over the cyclone. There is a possibility that the shear could lessen and the environment could become more favorable for intensification prior to landfall but the odds of Karen becoming a hurricane are currently lower than yesterday at this time. Given the lack of ability to predict strengthening and weakening of tropical cyclones, the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Karen. In coordination with the WX4NHC coordinators, activation is currently not expected at this time but will be monitored closely with each advisory on Tropical Storm Karen in case a ‘short fused’ activation for Karen is needed. There are also track differences with Karen with a wide spread in the guidance of where Karen makes landfall. Future model runs will hopefully close the spread in model guidance.

Advisory information on Karen can be seen off the Main Menu of the VoIP Hurricane web site. In addition, the VoIP Hurricane Net Facebook and Twitter feeds auto update when new advisory information as issued by the National Hurricane Center. The links for our facebook and twitter feeds follow below:

http://www.facebook.com/voipwxnet
http://twitter.com/voipwxnet

As always, the latest National Hurricane Center can also be seen via the National Hurricane Center web site at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Karen. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

Hello to all..

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Karen. Over the past 24 hours, Karen has weakened a bit to a 50 MPH Tropical Storm due to moderate westerly shear over the cyclone. There is a possibility that the shear could lessen and the environment could become more favorable for intensification prior to landfall but the odds of Karen becoming a hurricane are currently lower than yesterday at this time. Given the lack of ability to predict strengthening and weakening of tropical cyclones, the VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Karen. In coordination with the WX4NHC coordinators, activation is currently not expected at this time but will be monitored closely with each advisory on Tropical Storm Karen in case a ‘short fused’ activation for Karen is needed. There are also track differences with Karen with a wide spread in the guidance of where Karen makes landfall. Future model runs will hopefully close the spread in model guidance.

Advisory information on Karen can be seen off the Main Menu of the VoIP Hurricane web site. In addition, the VoIP Hurricane Net Facebook and Twitter feeds auto update when new advisory information as issued by the National Hurricane Center. The links for our facebook and twitter feeds follow below:

http://www.facebook.com/voipwxnet
http://twitter.com/voipwxnet

As always, the latest National Hurricane Center can also be seen via the National Hurricane Center web site at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Karen. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net