Hello to all..
Here is an update on the Atlantic Tropics:
Tropical Storm Nate continues over the Southern Bay of Campeche. Due to it being stationary and upwelling water over the area, Nate has actually weakened slightly. Nate is starting to move toward the west at 5 MPH and slow intensification is expected. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Tampico to Veracruz Mexico with a Tropical Storm Warning from Tampico to Punta El Lagarto. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from north of Tampico to La Cruz Mexico. At this time, current NHC prognostications is for Nate to be just below hurricane strength as it makes landfall Sunday just to the north of Veracruz Mexico. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will montior the progress of Nate today in case he intensifies more quickly and becomes a hurricane prior to landfall in Mexico.
Tropical Storm Maria remains disorganized this morning and may dissipate later today. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for St. Maartin, Saba, St. Eustatius, Antigua, Anguilla, Barbuda, Montserrat, Nevis, St Kitts, St Barthelemy, St Marteen, the US and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico including Vieques and Culebra. If Maria survives, the environment will become more favorable for strengthening as it passes the islands and moves near the Turks and Caicos islands and the Bahamas and then track more northward around 70 West longtitude per the official NHC forecast. The threat to the US East Coast looks low at this time. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to closely monitor the progress of Maria.
Hurricane Katia is racing northeastward and is a threat to shipping interests only. Katia should become post-tropical later today and remain a powerful extratropical system affecting the British Isles and Northern Europe late this weekend into early next week.
Hello to all…
As we approach the peak of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season, we now have 3 tropical systems to monitor as well as the remnants of Lee. This is a quick update on each system.
Hurricane Katia continues on track between Bermuda and the US East Coast and is now a Category-1 Hurricane. Katia is expected to go out to sea roughly 200-250 miles southeast of Nantucket Island. This means the impacts to the US will be high surf and rip currents on the beaches and possibly wind gusts to 25-30 MPH on Nantucket Island with the greater threats from Katia to shipping interests. The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to monitor Katia in case there are any unexpected surprises in her track that would bring her closer to land.
Tropical Storm Maria has formed out of Tropical Depression 14 and is moving swiftly westward with maximum sustained winds of 50 MPH and may impact the Northeast Caribbean Islands and Puerto Rico later Friday and this weekend. Maria is currently expected to stay at tropical storm strength but intensity prediction is always difficult and Maria will be monitored in case she unexpectedly intensifies to hurricane strength prompting potential VoIP Hurricane Net and Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, WX4NHC, activation towards late Friday and the weekend.
Tropical Storm Nate has formed in the Southern Gulf of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche with maximum sustained winds of 45 MPH. Nate is expected to move slowly and erractically over the next few days with potential landfall somewhere in Mexico. Nate may also intensify into a hurricane. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Chilitepec to Celestun Mexico as of the 5 PM EDT/2100 UTC 9/7/11 advisory.
Hello to all..
I hope everyone is having an enjoyable Labor Day Weekend. Here is an Atlantic Tropical Update for 9/5/11.
Tropical Storm Lee made landfall in Southeast Louisiana over the weekend and the NHC has issued its last advisory. Extratropical Lee is now being tracked by the Hydrometeorlogical Prediction Center (HPC) and they are issuing advisories every 6 hours on Extratropical Lee. The remnants of Lee have the potential to cause heavy rainfall from the Appalachians to New England with a potential for severe weather in the Southeast United States.
Hurricane Katia is nearing major hurricane strength as of the 11 AM EDT/1500 UTC Monday 9/5/11 advisory. Confidence is growing that Katia will take a track between the US East Coast and Bermuda and will recurve out to sea. This will still be monitored closely as the weather models have had difficulties handling the trough just west of the US East Coast and how it affects Katia but there has been multi-model agreement over 5 consecutive model runs concerning Katia’s track between the Caroinas and Bermuda and then out to sea south of New England and the Canadian Maritimes.
A new tropical wave has emerged off of Africa and is located 550 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. This wave has a high chance of developing into a Tropical Depression over the next day or two as it moves westward.
HPC Advisory information on Lee, National Hurricane Center (NHC) Advisory information on Hurricane Katia and the NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook can be seen on the Main Menu of the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products and can also be seen on the NHC web site via the following link:
The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the Atlantic Tropics as we approach the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!
Hello to all..
We are approaching the peak of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season so a high amount of activity is still noted. Here’s an update:
Katia is now a hurricane and tracking about 1100 miles east of the Leeward Islands. Over the next 5 day period, Katia is expected to stay over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean and be a threat only to shipping interests while intensifying to major hurricane strength. It is unclear whether Katia will stay out to sea or affect any portion of the US East Coast, Bermuda or the Canadian Maritimes. This will be monitored closely.
Another area of disturbed weather is located in the Gulf of Mexico. This system now has a high chance of development and could have impacts to the Northern Gulf coast so interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of the system.
A non-tropical low pressure system about 360 milles north of Bermuda but has a low chance for development. This system should stay well out at sea as well.
Advisories on Katia can be found on the voipwx.net web site under the Atlantic Tropical Products section of the Main Menu of the web site. The Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook can also be found in the same section on the web site. The Katia advisories and Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook can also be found on the National Hurricane Center web site via the link below:
The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the Atlantic Tropics. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net