Hello to all..

On Monday Evening, Tropical Storm Emily formed near the Windward/Leeward Islands and is moving westward and is 245 miles southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico with Maximum Sustained Winds of 40 MPH. Emily is expected to turn west-northwestward and slow its forward speed over the next 48 hours and some slow strengthening is possible until Emily interacts with land. As of 5 AM ET, Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Guadeloupe, Desirade, Les Saintes, Maria Galante, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra and the Donimican Republic. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the US Virgin Islands, St Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Haiti.

The intensity and track of Emily is rather uncertain. For the next 120 hours, Emily is expected to remain at Tropical Storm strength with the possibility of Emily weakening to a tropical depression depending on how much land Emily interacts with as she approaches Hispaniola. If Emily interacts with land too much, she may not maintain a circulation and could weaken to a remnant low. If she stays more over water, slow strengthening could occur as she moves through the islands. The track is equally uncertain with some weather models bringing Emily through the Bahamas and just off the coast of Florida. Other weather models are further south keeping the system south of Cuba. Future model runs and the ultimate strength of Emily will determine her track over the next few days.

Advisories on Emily can be found off the Main Menu of the voipwx.net web site under Atlantic Tropical Products. The advisories can also be obtained via the National Hurricane Center web site at:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will closely monitor the progress of Emily. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net

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