Tropical Update as of 8/11/07 1130 AM EDT/1530 UTC

Hello to all….

A few items of interest in the tropics as of August 11th, 1130 AM/1530 UTC.

In the Central Pacific, Hurricane Flossie is now a major hurricane and the National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida has issued its last advisory on the system and advisories will now be picked up by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii. The VoIP Hurricane Net web site will be updated after 6 PM EDT/2200 UTC with links to the advisory information from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center.

It appears Flossie has reached its peak intensity but intensity forecasts can be problematic so this will be monitored closely. The current track guidance passes Flossie south of Hawaii but much of Hawaii remains in the cone of uncertainity as far as the track of Flossie and there is a concern that if the High pressure ridge breaks down more than what models forecast, the system could have more impact to that area though its questionable how strong it would be as we move out in time as well. This will be monitored closely and contact has been made with VoIP Net Control Operator, Connie-NH7IE, who is in Hawaii in case our support is needed.

In the Atlantic, a vigorous tropical wave is moving off the Africa coast. Various weather computer models have been insistent for several days that this system could develop and become significant with possible land areas on the Atlantic side impacted, however, model guidance is not always correct and its many days away from impacting anyone if it even develops but it is worth noting this system at this time for long range planning purposes given the models consistency with developing this system.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to monitor the progress of Flossie and activity in the Atlantic over the next few days. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net
1

Hello to all….

A few items of interest in the tropics as of August 11th, 1130 AM/1530 UTC.

In the Central Pacific, Hurricane Flossie is now a major hurricane and the National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida has issued its last advisory on the system and advisories will now be picked up by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii. The VoIP Hurricane Net web site will be updated after 6 PM EDT/2200 UTC with links to the advisory information from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center.

It appears Flossie has reached its peak intensity but intensity forecasts can be problematic so this will be monitored closely. The current track guidance passes Flossie south of Hawaii but much of Hawaii remains in the cone of uncertainity as far as the track of Flossie and there is a concern that if the High pressure ridge breaks down more than what models forecast, the system could have more impact to that area though its questionable how strong it would be as we move out in time as well. This will be monitored closely and contact has been made with VoIP Net Control Operator, Connie-NH7IE, who is in Hawaii in case our support is needed.

In the Atlantic, a vigorous tropical wave is moving off the Africa coast. Various weather computer models have been insistent for several days that this system could develop and become significant with possible land areas on the Atlantic side impacted, however, model guidance is not always correct and its many days away from impacting anyone if it even develops but it is worth noting this system at this time for long range planning purposes given the models consistency with developing this system.

The VoIP Hurricane Net Management Team will continue to monitor the progress of Flossie and activity in the Atlantic over the next few days. Thanks to all for their continued support of the VoIP Hurricane Net!

73,Rob-KD1CY.
Director of Operations for the VoIP Hurricane Net
1